Sports Arbitrage – A Path to Regular Risk Free Profits – Learn More

Sports arbitrage betting

Arbitrage sports betting is a proven way to get regular risk free profits from the massive online fixed odds betting market. In a way it’s like a swoop and scoop of regular small profits from pitting one fixed odds bookmaker against another.

Sports arbitrage betting takes it’s origins from arbitrage trading in financial markets. In financial markets an arbitrage trade exploits the difference in the price of a listed company on a stock market in different countries. 

Sports arbitrage trading is where someone regularly trades price inconsistencies between fixed odds bookmakers on the same sporting event. After all bookmakers are only human and they make mistakes. These mistakes can be exploited by someone who wants to spot them.

In truth a lot of fixed odds bookmakers don’t want you to know this information….but sports arbitrage betting is legal and doesn’t harm the bookmakers business in any case. The returns you can expect from sports arbitrage trading are limited only by the fixed odds bookmakers who cap the stake size. The only investment needed with a ‘sport arb’ is your betting stake, which as you’ll learn is totally guaranteed. 

What sort of budget should I start with for sports arbitrage trading?

Well, this is your decision. Depending on your level of experience we would suggest free sport arbitrage betting with the free bets available from online fixed odds bookmakers. You can increase your budget with your level of confidence. The winnings with sport arbitrage trading can be added to your bank. If you decided to invest a percentage of you bank each time your stake and you profit will increase accordingly.

How do bookmakers lose their money?

Sports arbitrage trading is all about spotting inconsistencies between different bookmakers’ prices that regularly exist.  As a result of mistakes by fixed odds bookmakers an under round occurs. An under round forms the basis of a sports arbitrage bet. Simply the under round is when the total number of probabilities priced by the odds on that event are below 100%. A typical under round is where you would have to invest £96 to get the bookmaker to pay you £100.  Using this example a sports arbitrage bet would give you a return of 4%. You can expect a return of around 4% for sports arbitrage bets.  Sometimes you will get more than 4%.

Sports arbitrage bets win regardless of the outcome of the event without any need for expert knowledge of sports betting or sports. This is one of the reasons sports arbitrage betting has a popular following.

There are two sides to any fixed odds bet, back and lay. Sports arbitrage bets come as back / back bets or back / lay bets.

Lets have a look at how these sports arbitrage bets might look.   

Back / back sports arbitrage

In the week of October 7th there were many arbs between 3% and up 9.17% for the European Championship Qualifiers played that week. Several of these sport arb opportunities lasted longer than normal because of the massive amount of interest in the games.

An example of one sport arb that week is given below: –

Poland Vs Latvia You could bet: – Latvia at 15.0 with Bet365 or Eurobet The Draw at 7.0 Luvbet Poland at 1.35 with several bookmakers including Unibet.com and Nordicbet.com. The odds have been converted to a percentage to make it easier to visualize.

By splitting your total stake Poland 77.951%, Draw 15.033% and Latvia 7.016% you would guarantee a profit of 5.23% regardless of the outcome of the match.

i.e.

Poland 77.951 x 1.35 = 105.23 Draw 15.033 x 7 = 105.23 Latvia 7.016 x 15 = 105.23

Why do these pricing inconsistencies or under round prices occur?

As bookmakers can now operate online, there are now hundreds of online fixed odds bookmakers. They are all competing with one another and are located in various countries and time zones. To be the person who actually prices a particular sportsbook you have to have a massive amount of knowledge of that sport. To compete, fixed odds bookmakers offer loads of sports in their sportsbook, but there isn’t the expertise to cover every sport. They may have the relevant stats but they can’t possibly know every participant and every event. In short mistakes can and do happen. Taking this into account and the difference in time zones you get hundreds of opportunities for sports arbitrage trading every week.

Take two examples. 

When England play soccer most bets with UK bookmakers will be supporting England. Bookmakers may offer the opposition at an inflated price to create a balanced book.

A typical week with four golf tournaments and a couple of tennis events bookmakers may have to price up 800 or so outright odds plus over 400 matches just in these two sports alone. We only need two bookmakers from the many available to have a difference of opinion in one of these markets to create an opportunity.

Back / lay sports arbitrage betting

You can also find a sport arb between the back and lay price (win / lose) for the event.   Back / lay sports arbitrage betting has been made easier due to betting exchanges like Betfair. A betting exchange allows members to lay an event (e.g. for a horse to lose). A back / lay sports arbitrage bet occurs when the price offered by a bookmaker is higher than the lay price available on a betting exchange for the same selection. The difference between the two represents your profit.  Often a bookmaker can be slow to change the price on a favourite when something has happened to reduce the odds. As the price drops on the betting exchange you profit by laying low with the betting exchange and backing high with the bookmaker.

How do we find sports arbitrage bets?

Finding sports arbitrage bets can be time consuming. Spotting them is relatively easy. You just convert the opposing odds on an event to a percentage and see if they add up to less than 100%.

Instead of trawling odds comparison sites we recommend using one of the sports arbitrage services which are available. These companies use software to search for sports arbitrage bets for you. 

What is the first step to successful sports arbitrage trading?

Sports arbitrage opportunities can spring up anywhere; a fixed odds bookmaker in the USA, UK, Europe or Australia. The first step is to open an account with a selection of online fixed odds bookmakers. There are some specific bookmakers who suit sports arbitrage betting because they allow a high stake size.  As you’ll learn it is important to have a bookmaker who allows a high stake when you consider you are making around 4% on each sports arbitrage bet. 

How do I set up a sports arbitrage bet once I have opened by fixed odds bookmaker account?

When you know which fixed odds bookmakers are presenting a sports arbitrage opportunity log into your account with each bookmaker. Have the fixed odds betting terminal of each bookmaker open in a separate browser window. Enter your stake in each one. Click confirm quickly one after the other and you sports arbitrage risk free profit is secured.

The Secret of Asian Handicap Soccer Betting

Soccer betting is by far the most widely accepted form of gambling around the world. This is because of the nature of the betting style and because most people think that it’s the easiest form of gambling.

There are only two teams to bet. Either Team Win or Lose or Draw. And of course there are other form of betting in soccer and – The Asian Handicap and I am going to explain a little bit more about this.

Asian Handicap is a method of giving or accepting handicap from one team. This is mostly played by Asians and more and more people in Europe are adopting this style of betting.

If you are accepting handicap, you have more probability to win because you will win your bet even if the game end up in a Draw.

There are many strategies that you can apply when betting on Asian Handicap and I am going to go through just some that is really important when you are placing a bet in soccer.

The opening odds and the movement will tell us where the game is heading. It is very important to take note of the opening odds when you are betting on Asian Handicap.

In Asian handicap, the money is with the banker so it’s important to spot where the money is going to by the movement of the odds.

If you are serious about soccer betting, there are many books offering the secrets signal to look out for in the odds.

A Review of the Paulson Tophat Cane Poker Chip Set

Many individuals struggle when choosing a poker chip set due to the sheer volume of sets available on the market today. Many sets are made quite cheaply and lack the quality and durability that is often reflected in the traditional poker sets used in casinos around the world.

However, there is one set that does uphold the same quality and strength as these sets and that is the Paulson Tophat Cane poker set. I would have to say, after playing with these chips firsthand, that they greatly outrank other models available on the market today.

The Paulson Tophat Cane poker set is designed and manufactured by the undisputed leader when it comes to chips and that is the company called Paulson. When evaluating the clay used in the creation of these chips, you will quickly find that it is the highest grade used to date.

If you are interested in having the same types of chips that are used in casinos worldwide, you will be happy to know that the manufacturing process is the same for Paulson poker chips as the chips that you find in casinos. All in all, when you elect to purchase this chip set, you are actually receiving true casino grade poker chips.

Advantages

There are many advantages to purchasing Paulson poker sets. First, the chips are of the highest quality. Much like standard casino chips, these have the 2/1000 regulation regarding thickness. It is also important to understand that these chips have a beautiful color inlay that is denomination specific.

Just like those in casinos, you will also notice that there is an edge spot design that is multi-colored. The inlay is not just painted on to the chip; it is actually sealed into the poker chip. If you want to keep your poker chips in top condition, you will be pleased to know that these can be thoroughly cleaned in warm water and soap without the fear of losing their natural luster and appeal.

Disadvantages

Overall, there are not too many disadvantages associated with the Paulson Tophat Cane poker set. Due to the overall quality of the chips, these are a bit more expensive than other poker sets. This could prove to be a disadvantage to many considering the current state of the economy. Additionally, they cannot be purchased at any retailer.

This is because of the copyright registration through the United States Copyright Office. They can only be purchased directly from the actual manufacturer or by dealers that have been specifically authorized to purchase them and sell them retail. Additionally, many may choose not to actually play with the set as they are expected to increase in value due to their overall rarity.

Conclusion

In my opinion, purchasing the Paulson Tophat Cane poker chip set is a sound investment. One of the main reasons is that they will actually increase in value over time due to their limited availability. If you elect to play with the chips, you will find that the high quality and the beautiful designs are hard to top. Whether you are giving the poker chip set as a gift or keeping it for yourself, there are many reasons why this set tops the rest.

Bluffing in Poker, the Overrated Concept?

If you speak to any non poker player about bluffing in poker then they will tend to exaggerate the importance of it. Usually this is caused by poker literature and Hollywood making the concept more important than what it actually is. Do not get me wrong here, poker bluffing certainly has its uses and no more so that in no-limit hold’em where one well timed bet can and will take down the pot.

But novice poker players and non poker players fail to understand that true expertise in poker is arrived at by skilfully balancing many individual concepts of which bluffing just happens to be one of them. Poker bluffing is of no more importance than areas like table selection, bankroll management, using position, good value betting, understanding the maths and any other factor that combines into the making of a good poker player.

However it is important that you bluff in poker and bluff well. The bottom line is that if nobody bluffed in poker then every single player would be dependent on their card strength in order to win a pot. This would essentially make no-limit hold’em nothing more than a card holding contest where the player with the best hand won the pot all the time.

Most of the time though, players will not have got a worthwhile hand or at least they will not have got a hand that can take any heat. The actual betting or raising with chips when you have no hand is the easy part; an absolute beginner can do that. The hard part is selecting the right moments to bluff and also the right players.

We will have a look at a couple of examples here to highlight both good and bad timing in the art of bluffing. This first example has us playing in a $2-$4 no-limit game and the cut-off raises to $14 and the button calls. Both of these players have got $500 stacks. The small blind folds and we have the 8s-6s in the big blind. Here would be a good spot to bluff raise. The original raiser is likely raising on a very wide range from the cut-off.

The caller on the button knows this and has called with a speculative hand to try and use their position to their advantage after the flop. Position is a huge weapon in poker and the button is trying to outplay the cut-off after the flop. If they had a real hand then they would have certainly three bet. So here a three bet by the big blind is based on the apparently weak call by the button and the wide raising range of the

Poker is a game of incomplete information so we cannot be certain that the cut-off or the button for that matter do not have a powerful hand. But we are using probability and our opponent’s actions to guide our bluff. We are also using our opponents stack sizes as well as if the original raiser had a very short stack then the likelihood that they would shove all-in is too large and this nullifies the play.

Let us look at another example of poker bluffing in action only this time, the bluff is badly timed. The UTG player raises to $14 in our NL400 game and the UTG+1 three bets to $50. It is folded around to us and we re-raise with the same 8s-6s to $200 the UTG player folds but the three bettor shoves all-in and we fold losing $200. There was a massive difference here compared to the first example. The original raise came not from the cut-off but from the UTG position and players have far stronger ranges when they open from this seat.

Despite knowing this, the player to their left still re-raised which indicated a very powerful hand. So to launch a bluff in this situation was bad poker and we should have simply folded. I am going to look at another example here of a successful bluff before we move on. You are in the big blind again and it is folded around to the button who open raises to $14 in our NL400 game.

This player has open raised every time it has been folded to them which now equals about half a dozen times in total. We re-raise from the big blind to $55 and the button calls. The flop is J-7-4 and we bet three quarters of the pot on the flop and they fold. You will have noticed that I have not even mentioned our cards in this example. That was deliberate because in this instance we didn’t even look at them. We merely launched a bluffing attempt based on the playing pattern of the button and then merely followed it through with a bet on the flop.

This brings me on to another vital concept of bluffing and that is one of commitment. Quite often poker bluffing involves betting on several streets. As you move up through the levels then single street bluffing will be less effective because your stronger opponents will call you down far lighter than what the players at the lower levels will do. An example may go something like this; we raise form the cut-off with the 9s-8s and are called by the button.

The flop comes 10d-3d-2s and we make a continuation bet into the pot that gets called. The turn card comes and is the 7h giving us nothing but a straight draw and our opponent who actually called us with the A-7 has now picked up a pair on the turn and calls again (obviously we don’t know that they have paired).

The river card is a king and we bet the pot on the end and our opponent thinks for a while and folds. Betting on multiple streets takes nerves and it isn’t something that you can do with a limited bankroll as it massively increases variance but it is an essential part of poker bluffing.

How to Be Lucky When Gambling in a Casino, Poker Game, Lottery Or Horse Racing Using Proven Methods

Luck is the most important part of gambling, as anyone who has spent any time in a casino, at the race track betting on horse racing, playing the lottery, poker, blackjack or any game of chance can tell you. Some people seem to be luckier than others and demonstrate the truth behind the old saying, “I’d rather be lucky than good.” How true that is. Good luck will get you through almost anything and no matter how deep you may appear to be in the soup, you may come out smelling like a rose if you have good fortune.

Of course, most people believe that it is impossible to change destiny or fortune so it is impossible to control your luck, but that may not actually be the case. Science has demonstrated that there are times when people win more and lose less. In his book, “The Conscious Universe,” Professor Dean Radin analyzed the results of four years of data from casinos. He was looking for a correlation between the phases of the moon, strength of the Earth’s geomagnetic fields, and casino payout percentages. During the full moon the Earth’s geomagnetic field is usually at its weakest. Professor Radin believes there may be some connection between the Earth’s magnetic fields, the moon, human psychic ability, and gambling.

One scientific study that Prof. Radin mentions in his book did demonstrate that people seem to be more psychic during the full moon, then their abilities seem to wane during the quarter moons and increase again during the new moon. This fluctuation in psychic ability seems to also follow luck because four years of casino data showed that payouts increased at the time of the full moon and decreased at other times for most casino games studied. Perhaps our intuition or psychic ability really does help us to win, whether it is picking the slot machine that is about to pay out, or knowing whether to hit a 13 at the blackjack table, or which horse will win the race. Poker players can certainly use intuition to their benefit.

The conclusion he reached was that if gamblers avoided the casinos during the quarter moons and gambled around the time of the full moon, they would decrease their losses or even win a profit. Of course, these are just generalizations and should not be considered an inducement to gamble, but they show promise for really understanding how to be lucky.

Lotteries showed a different trend. It appears that Pick 3 style lotteries pay out more during the times of the quarter moons and lower payouts during the full moon. Fluctuations in the magnetic fields of the earth, once again, seemed to have an effect. While the phase of the moon or strength of the earth’s fields will not guarantee you a winner, it may be a good idea to start making your winning and losing days on a calendar and watch where they fall according to the moon’s phases.

Other studies have shown that when people have a positive attitude and expect to win, they actually do win more often. That makes sense, doesn’t it? If you expect to win you may make choices that will have a positive effect. For instance, if you are in a casino and looking for a blackjack table and expect to lose, you won’t be too fussy about which table you sit at. But if you expect to win you may take more time selecting the table and finding one where the gamblers seem to be happier and smiling, meaning they are winning and the table is paying out better. You may not do it consciously, but you could do this and other things subconsciously just because you have a winning attitude and expect to win. We make a lot of choices when gambling whether we are at the race track betting on horse racing or choosing a place or game in a casino or even selecting lottery numbers.

So my advice to you is that you keep track of your winning and losing days and the phases of the moon. Also, keep a positive attitude. If you expect to win, perhaps it is a good day to take a chance, but if you expect to lose or just don’t feel lucky, maybe it would be better to save your money until you feel the earth’s fields, moon, or just plain old luck are working for you.